HAS RUTO SENSED DEFEAT? SIGNS ARE ALL OVER HIS BODY.

 Today , opinion poll firm infotrak released presidential a poll that placed Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance coalition party presidential candidate Raila Odinga infront of Kenya Kwanza Alliance coalition presidential candidate William Ruto. Infotrak posited that Raila is leading with 42% while his opponent Ruto was given 38%. They means , if the presidential election cannot be conducted now , none of the two leading contenders can clinch the 50+1% but this is only an opinion poll. Politics is dynamic and a day in it is very long. As we approach the August general elections , alot of this will transpire. This gap between the two will increase and the most disheartening thing is , it will rise infavour of Raila Odinga and not William Ruto. His choice of running mate dented his popularity in Mt Kenya region though not in a big way because in this region , Ruto is leading. The question is , which percentage is he leading with? That's very important. He may be leading with 50% yet , he is supposed to get more than 80%. This could be akin to winning the battle but losing the war in a terrible manner.

The launching of Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance coalition party gave Raila-Martha a very huge boost. The manifesto is very realistic. It is not populistic in nature inorder to hoodwink the voter with promises that can take more than 5 decades to be implemented. The 10 point agenda will reinvigorate Kenya's dwindling economy. As we speak , the public debt is at 10 Trillion but the economy itself is of 13 Trillion. That's what President Uhuru Kenyatta will leave behind. Just like I retariated the other day , this many promises Raila Odinga is making which most of them are centred on creating a welfare State , will require him either to borrow more , increase taxes on essential commodities or negotiate for debt rescheduling. Even in liberal democracies which are categorized as the most wealthiest Nations , they are still struggling to maintain a welfare State.

The most important thing since 2002 presidential elections , this time round , ethnicity and ethnic balkanization hasn't taken a centre stage in shaping thr CAMPAIGNS mondus operandi. This time round , economy has taken the leading mantle. Unlike in thr previous 3 presidential elections , that is , 2007 , 2013 and 2017 which were ethnically based and tribal rhetorics hived hectares of space in the campaign trails of both Jubilee Party and National Super Alliance (NASA). The kind of statements NASA used to make each and every day are the same as the ones Ruto and his Kenya Kwanza Alliance troops are making. This are the symptoms of someone heading to the backbenches. But wait? The 2010 Constitution of Kenya doesn't recognize the runners up. It highly advocated for the winner takes it all. 

photo courtesy of NMG

Unlike the previous constitution that recognized the runners up by offering him thr seat of official opposition leader , the new Constitution became tight lipped on giving the runners up with constitutional duties. In Countries that practices liberal democracy , the leader of official opposition cannot conduct his/her business outside Parliament. You can't hold the sitting Government responsible from the comfort of ones bedroom , kitchen , granary , sitting room or washroom. You must be in the floor of the Parliament. Under his/her armpits , the two most powerful parliamentary committees ,that of , Public Accounts Committee (PAC) and the Public Investment Committee (PIC) operates under the preview of the opposition. It is from this end that , the bank benches holds the government responsible by becoming kenyans eyes and ears in as far as utilisation of taxpayers monies is concerned.

Ruto while speaking in Elwak , Mandera County has rubbished today's infotrak poll results. He cited that , the DEEP STATE has failed and the System too. But the question is , is it Ruto who told Kenyans that deep State and system only exists in utopia? That is is just illusory? But why did he mentioned the two with tension all over his body? Again , he has chided the Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance coalition party manifesto as something that has failed to pick. The question is , is the proponents of that manifesto in the government? They are in the Presidential race to clinch power. Yes!! Power is taken not given. All along , Ruto had hinged all his hopes that , President Uhuru Kenyatta will support him politically and thst the populace Mt Kenya region will vote him to the lady man , infact a repeat of tjr the craze voting pattern that Mt Kenya region residents exhibited since the advent of pluralism back in 1991.

It is no doubt that Ruto has sensed a terrible defeat. Things ain't going well for him. Already , the likes of Mudavadi , Wetangula , Gachagua , Mutua and Kingi sounds and looks like people who have in a clandestine way conceded defeat. The political terrain is becoming intricate for them. Now , the only activity Ruto has been left with from now hence forth is just crying foul , speaking from both sides of the mouth. Today he complements IEBC that he is very sure it will conduct free, fair and credible elections and the following day , he accuses the very IEBC of planning to rig him out. Ruto is very insecure and the paranoia in him is betraying him. He is now days become a very commanding person. I wonder how he will handle his colleagues in Kenya Kwanza Alliance and at the same avoid a fall out between him and them. Kenyans are waiting to see. The earlier he prepares himself psychologically that his time isn't in 2022 but somewhere in 2032 the better. Painful truth.