WHY SEN. KANGATA IS POLITICALLY INCORRECT ON RAILA AND AZIMIO LOSING TERRIBLY IN NAIROBI?

 

In today's Sunday Nation , I have come across an article done by one Mūrang'a County senator Dr Irungu Kangata. In his article , Dr Kangata has spelled doom on why Raila Odinga and the entire Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance will lose terribly in Nairobi County. The reasons he has given are far fetched and cannot be supported by any empirical evidence. It is just a hollow script done by someone who is introducing himself to the murky world of political commentary. Yes!!! Not Political Analysis since , he would have immersed deeper in that issue but he has haphazardly thrown words in his article , giving the readers a forest of words but a desert of points.

To start with , let me ventilate on the poll results done by Trends and Insights For Africa (TIFA) for Nairobi County. In this poll , they delved on Presidential , Coalitions/Alliances , Political parties, Gubernatorial , Senatorial and Women Rep seat popularity. On Political Parties Popularity , the distribution was as follows:

ODM - 26% , Jubilee Party -5% , UDA -22% and undecided - 44%

On coalition/ Alliance popularity: Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance - 42% , Kenya Kwanza Alliance - 22% and undecided - 36% 

For gubernatorial aspirant popularity: Johnson Sakaja - 23% , Polycarp Igathe - 15% and undecided - 53%

For Senatorial seat popularity , Sifuna- 19% , Margaret Wanjiru - 6% and undecided- 73% 

For Women Representative seat popularity : Esther Muthoni Passaris - 27.8% , Millicent Omanga - 6.2% and undecided- 63.3%

For Presidential seat popularity: Raila Odinga - 41% , Ruto - 26% and undecided- 32%

This is how the opinion poll distribution was and I hope Dr Kangata was guided by this poll which after scrutinizing it in details , it has confined and fulfilled all the requirement of qualifying to be categorized as a scientific poll. Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance is the most popular one in Nairobi County. That alone puts Raila Odinga in a pole position to garner more votes than his opponent. Nairobi as per the IEBC register 2022 , it has 2.5 M voters. It is the one leading. It is good for Dr Kangata to note that Raila Odinga for the last 2 elections , he garnered more votes in Nairobi County. Fact!!! What is that that Kangata feels this time will alter that victory for Raila? 

Raila Odinga isn't in government. So , telling us that he will carry the burden of the Jubilee Government ills is far fetched. DP Ruto is in the government. He hasn't resigned so that , he can't castigate this government when he is outside. His hypocrisy stinks to thr high Heavens. He is quick to take credit on development projects the government has succeeded in rolling out but when the government is being stoned for high cost of living etc , the fellow chickens out and leads in lynching it. Hypocrisy 101.

On the Nairobi Gubernatorial race , the reasoning that Luhya community will punish Azimio la Umoja one Kenya Alliance for short changing Westlands MP Tim Wanyonyi who was eyeing the city's gubernatorial seat is myopic. Infact , Luhya community has for along time been giving Raila Odinga unwavering support in Nairobi. What makes Kangata to think otherwise? Where in Nairobi to we find Kalenjin community residing in large numbers? Now here. Already , Sakaja has been branded as a Kalenjin community project. This is calamitous than branding Raila Odinga a State project. Fact!!!

In conclusion , Dr Kangata is Politically incorrect. His article don't at all reflect on the real political arithmetic and dynamics in Nairobi County. The fact is , ethnic arithmetics will be a major turning point come August 9th because , the two  coalitions ( Azimio and Kenya Kwanza) were being guided by this ethnic calculus even when they were deciding on who will be flying their tickets for various political seats in Nairobi. All in all , Azimio will carry the day though , ODM , Wiper , UDA and Jubilee Party will each win various political seats starting from Wards scaling upwards. It is so DECLASSIFIED.


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